Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 25.655530 29.640734 33.956113 38.965561 44.609557 50.760362 57.959142
2025-01-05 19.784237 25.520538 32.329894 40.954414 51.526791 64.000555 79.761721
2025-01-12 15.068235 21.279581 29.222922 40.003447 54.111941 71.791725 95.442402
2025-01-19 11.590980 17.726304 26.097141 38.147879 54.807271 76.746785 107.487655
2025-01-26 10.387938 16.950644 26.383899 40.614452 61.148545 89.246895 130.032729
2025-02-02 9.763600 16.854730 27.515548 44.250381 69.282975 104.644981 157.488892
2025-02-09 8.550472 15.628510 26.761414 44.942488 73.118810 114.175936 177.279358
2025-02-16 7.401674 14.303323 25.643161 44.875468 75.695679 121.929400 194.869479
2025-02-23 6.377389 13.013639 24.389040 44.394121 77.488636 128.511180 210.995752
2025-03-02 5.557322 11.949627 23.358351 44.120526 79.503876 135.456707 227.968364
2025-03-09 4.857623 10.993455 22.381760 43.799133 81.346420 142.160736 244.854121
2025-03-16 3.965541 9.506571 20.250361 41.202633 79.089835 142.072369 250.876311
2025-03-23 3.624548 9.132186 20.218531 42.514737 83.895212 154.194295 277.952034
2025-03-30 3.396909 8.974405 20.606268 44.685034 90.469707 169.827884 311.980745
2025-04-06 2.886779 8.084497 19.402647 43.663264 91.151267 175.449825 329.584569
2025-04-13 2.375149 7.080747 17.808146 41.660500 89.780636 177.333707 340.829898
2025-04-20 2.290668 7.120450 18.470979 44.323905 97.517146 195.859177 382.015389
2025-04-27 2.295510 7.392936 19.683388 48.246983 107.988415 219.907861 434.154991
2025-05-04 2.085901 7.047834 19.430715 48.993395 112.182859 232.647689 466.679274
2025-05-11 1.852638 6.586911 18.838361 48.921123 114.689474 242.352085 494.155004
2025-05-18 1.625360 6.091824 18.088931 48.402017 116.201942 250.213746 518.577275
2025-05-25 1.437472 5.673168 17.469373 48.106936 118.141965 258.975575 545.074739
2025-06-01 1.270351 5.280690 16.859039 47.760281 119.924791 267.500092 571.504517